Chainalysis says $457 billion in potentially taxable on-chain crypto activity may fall mostly outside CARF in 2025
Chainalysis said in a new report that global potentially taxable on-chain crypto activity will reach at least $457 billion in 2025, while the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework, or CARF, covers only about 14% of that on-chain taxable activity. The report put the U.S. total at about $112.6 billion, with North America leading all regions at $134.6 billion and the European Union close behind at $125.1 billion. Its estimate includes realized gains, mining, staking, lending income, and payments denominated in crypto assets, but excludes trading activity that takes place inside centralized exchanges. Chainalysis said CARF will begin data collection on Jan. 1, 2026 across 48 jurisdictions, including the U.K. and the EU. Former OECD adviser Colby Mangels, who helped develop CARF, said the framework was built around intermediaries engaged in crypto transactions, leaving a large share of DeFi activity outside the reporting perimeter where there is no centralized operator or custodial relationship.



